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Football Trading: Time Bombs

Football Trading: Time Bombs

The good trader knows how to take advantage of the market variations at any given moment.

A good trading time management minimizes your exposure and protects your profits.

by Josué Ramos   |   comments 0
Friday, March 27 2015

Since I started with my first movements and operations, either as a trader or as a punter, as all of you, I observed the odds moving with time or other important factors like goals or red cards. And that fascinated me.

There were periods where, even without the influence of time, the odds would speed up and other where they would slow down. Despite this, a pattern was clear, on the second halves of matches with the passing of time the above process sped up greatly and I saw there my opportunity to enter the market at these moments and leave it once that same market’s nature did its job.

This was before I found out the exact period of these time zones, before I started putting everything into papers and graphics I based a lot of my work on market fluctuations, after some time everything became automatic to me and, despite having classified these zones as higher or slower movement ones, we can still see that the market moves as us, the bettors and traders, act.

Timebombs are zones with higher probability of faster or slower movement.

This is obvious, but it also tells us that a timebomb does not need to be within the time frames determined here, they can appear in several situations, many of them caused by in game situations. We all know this by now, but to those that are starting in the business this might be one of the easiest and lucrative ways to leverage your bank. It is, however, also one of the slower ones.

Let's get straight to the action. I'll show my work here utilizing these zones and once again, this is not an absolute truth, just my way of working.

First, I like the O/U (Over and Under) markets for their oscillations. Time is always more strict within the goal markets. On the second half that situation only becomes more ruthless and the oscillations even more intense.

As such, i've classified the time zones as:

Interval from @1.33 to @1.5 As a Medium zone.
Interval from @1.5 to @1.7 As a Slow zone.
Interval from @1.8 to @2.2 As a Quick Zone.
Interval from @2.2 to @2.5 As a Slow zone.
Interval from @2.5 to @3 As a Quick Zone. 

We can see then, that it does not matter if you are going to operate on the first half on HT markets or only on the second half, where the odds lose some time resistance, the way of acting is exactly the same.

The zones are explained above and tend to vary with current events, despite these variations we can always turn a good profit within them without much stake exposure.

So I work according to these facts waiting for the O/U market odds to enter my defined zones. I will always try to extract the maximum profit of the match I’m following but, because sometimes I’m acting without following the match live based only on market volume and liquidity, I will not risk staying out to grab the max variation of these zones.

The exposure time varies with the market instability, sometimes our stake won’t be open for even a minute, on other occasions we need more time.

The cornerstone of sports trading has always been work the least amount of time possible with our stake exposed, that is, the less exposure the better, this is why I tend to focus on timebombs.

Keep in mind what was said about the lower exposure time, because this is what a professional trader must always search for.

Greed is another huge factor. You must know when it is time to leave and close your position and not fall prey to the mistake of wanting to profit too much from a basic operation. I consider getting back 10% of my stake value a pretty good result. Sometimes even less than that is good if you’re working on Scalping these zones. I prefer Swing trading however.

The way of operating and the stake size are left to each trader’s discretion. The two main points that must get through is that you cannot let these opportunities to profit with the passing of time pass you by and that every trader has to avoid exposing himself for too long on any operation.

With these two points in mind, anyone can go into a football match, open the goals market and monitor it confirming the data I present here. This is vital in order to understand market movements and the importance of punters and, in time, to predict market movements.
With time bombs you have to know that although they are a slow and tiring way of making money, they are also safe and consistent. Look to the long run because you can easily double your stake on a single day with this kind of actions. Believe me, it is a very promising market.

This technique has its cons though. Working on the goals market for instance, you are subject to random goals appearing while you are working on the under, what should we do then? I simply estimate the percentage of the stake that I’m losing and close my position. I keep an eye on the market and proceed with my tactic exactly the same after that. I think this is the correct course of action for everyone. You should not risk yourself and try to run after your loss, this recuperation will come naturally with proper work. At most what I will do is, when I’m following the match live, I’ll let the position open for a little while longer because I can control the markets better while watching the match live. I must confess, I use this tactic on matches I’m not following live as well, I do not advise you to do the same though, I have some experience already and feel comfortable acting this way. I’m comfortable doing this whether I’m watching the match or not but other people like to always be watching their matches?

I do not want to be a bad influence for starting traders, each trader must have his own work method, my advice though is, always watch the matches you are working on in order to work with confidence.

You will get back your losses one way or the other, all you have to do is relax, measure your options and your risks and always close your position when the losses arrive. Think about it like this, the profit is always on the long run. 

I will not stretch this text any further with unneeded explanations, from now on place your questions on the comments and I’ll try to answer them.

I hope you’ve enjoyed this article, hugs!