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Sporting CP Benfica betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be the first edition of the season for Lisbon's biggest derby, where both teams will have great reason to be content only with the win. Playing at home, Sporting will seek to take advantage of this advantage against their great rival, even because they are late in the fight for 3rd place. This is against a Benfica who will have to win to keep the distance in the lead or, if FC Porto slips in the reception to Braga, increase it. The fact is that collectively Lage's team looks better worked, so they should come out with a positive result from Alvalade, in a game that is expected of strong emotions and high degree of difficulty for both rivals.
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Preview
Sporting CP and Benfica meet at Estádio José Alvalade, in a match for the 17th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 7 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 4 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Taça de Portugal, on 03‑04‑2019, Sporting CP won by (1‑0). Bruno Fernandes (75' ) scored the only goal of the match. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 4th and 1st of the league table, it’s also a match between the 9th best team in home matches and the 1st best in away matches.

Analysis Sporting CP

After 9 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 4th position, havinf won 29 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Vitória Setúbal by (1‑3), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑2) at home, against Porto. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 17 points in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 9 conceded, against 12 points won at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 9 conceded. For the league, Sporting CP won 12 points out of 21 possible points, after 4 wins and 3 losses in the last 7 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

In a campaign where the team soon fell out of the title fight, Sporting's major goal in the NOS League will be to finish in third place. Something that, for now, does not happen, since the "lions" have a disadvantage compared to Famalicão. This was after a match where Silas' team went to win at Estádio do Bonfim, against Vitória de Setúbal, by 3-1, with two goals from the inevitable Bruno Fernandes and a own-goal. A controversial game, where Sporting dominated in the first half and eventually "fell asleep" in the second half, putting themselves in a susceptible position, even before "killing" the game in compensation time. In this closing of the first round, the team will try to beat the Lisbon's rival, in a derby where the priority will be the defense of the lions brio.

Confirmed Lineup: Luis Maximiano, Stefan Ristovski, Jérémy Mathieu, Tiago Ilori, Wendel, Bruno Fernandes, Rafael Camacho, Idrissa Doumbia, Marcos Acuña, Yannick Bolasie, Luiz Phellype.
Coach: R. Amorim.

Analysis Benfica

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 45 points won, after 15 wins and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Vitória Guimarães, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Desportivo Aves, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 24 goals scored and 3 conceded at home, against 16 goals scored and 3 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got a home win against Rio Ave by (3‑2).

In this competition, they have a sequence of 7 wins in the last away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (3 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 16 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 9 of those 12 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Benfica comes to this final matchday of the first round of the championship in the lead, with a four-point lead over rivals Porto, who play this round two hours before the team takes action in Alvalade. In the last matchday of the League, the "eagles" suffered but they won in reception to Desportivo das Aves, by 2-1, in a turn materialized by the goals of Pizzi (penalty) and André Almedia, in the final stretch of the match, where Benfica missed several scoring opportunities, getting in the way of slipping. A scenario that, to some extent, was repeated last Tuesday, when receiving the Rio Ave, for the quarterfinal of the Portuguese Cup. A game where Bruno Lage's charges also entered losing, turning up to 3-2 with a encore scored by the swiss Haris Seferovic, who was  in the substitutes' seat.

Confirmed Lineup: Odysseas Vlachodimos, Francisco Ferreira, Rúben Dias, André Almeida, Álex Grimaldo, Franco Cervi, Julian Weigl, Gabriel Pires, Pizzi, Chiquinho, Carlos Vinícius.
Coach: R. Schmidt.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Sporting CP vs Benfica match, on 17 January 2020, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Benfica or Draw and Over 1.5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Sporting CP vs Benfica on 17 January 2020 will be played at Lisboa, Estádio José Alvalade.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Sporting CP Benfica match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Benfica at with 77% of the tips.

 

Primeira Liga - 2019/2020

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 41.18%
  • Draws 25.82%
  • Away team wins 33.01%
  • Over 1.5 69.61%
  • Over 2.5 44.12%
  • Over 3.5 25.16%
  • Goals 763
  • Goals /match 2.49
  • Goals /match home 1.35
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 49.02%
  • Goals after 80' 16.78%
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