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Atlético Madrid Valencia betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be for Atlético de Madrid to win. It is true that the visiting team has some quality players, however, the home team has a much more complete squad. It should be noted that the Madrid team won three of the last four games played at their stadium. Thus, it will not be surprising that the team coached by Diego Simeone has the best goal opportunities and ends up winning the triumph.
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Preview
Atlético and Valencia face at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano, in a match for the 26th round of the Primera División. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑08‑2022, Atlético Madrid got an away win by (0‑1). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 22‑01‑2022, Atlético Madrid won by (3‑2). M. Hermoso (90' ), M. Cunha (64' ) and A. Correa (90' ) scored for Atlético and Y. Musah (25' ) and H. Duro (44' ) for Valencia. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Atlético

The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 45 points won, after 14 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Sevilla, by (6‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Girona, by (0‑1). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Atlético has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 12 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 19 of the last 25 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 8 of those 19 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 14 of them. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 12 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Atlético de Madrid comes motivated for this round after a triumph, by 0-1, on the trip to Girona: the only goal of the team was signed by Álvaro Morata. The Madrid team usually plays in a 3-5-2, favoring quick transitions, mainly through the wings. In this tactical formation, the two men responsible for launching panic in the opposing defense are Memphis Depay and Álvaro Morata: the last player mentioned is one of the best scorers of this team, with 10 goals scored. Out of this game are Reinildo Mandava and Sergio Reguilón, both with physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: Jan Oblak, Nahuel Molina, Stefan Savić, José Giménez, Hermoso, Rodrigo De Paul, Llorente, Yannick Carrasco, Koke, Antoine Griezmann, Memphis Depay.
Coach: D. Simeone.

Analysis Valencia

The away team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 7 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against FC Barcelona, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Osasuna, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Valencia has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 6 losses in the last away matches and they haven't won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (5 out of 12 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (5 out of 12 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 12 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (16'‑30'); they have conceded 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Valencia comes for this round after a 1-0 victory against Osasuna: the only goal of the team was signed by Justin Kluivert. Contrary to the opponent of this round, the visiting emblem should play in a 4-3-3, with the goal of using the side aisles to invest in the offensive process. Even so, it's foreseeable that the visiting club will adopt a more defensive posture, taking into account that it has an inferior squad. Justin Kluivert is the team's top scorer, with 4 goals scored. Out of this game are Gabriel Paulista, Marcos de Sousa, Édinson Cavani and Jaume Doménech, all with physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: Giorgi Mamardashvili, Dimitri Foulquier, Cenk Özkacar, Gayá, Hugo Guillamón, Eray Cömert, Thierry Correia, Yunus Musah, Nico González, Hugo Duro, Justin Kluivert.
Coach: J. Bordalás Jiménez.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Atlético vs Valencia match, on 18 March 2023, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Atlético wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Atlético vs Valencia on 18 March 2023 will be played at Madrid, Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Atlético Valencia match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Atlético at with 91% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2022/2023

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 47.89%
  • Draws 23.42%
  • Away team wins 28.68%
  • Over 1.5 70.79%
  • Over 2.5 47.63%
  • Over 3.5 22.63%
  • Goals 955
  • Goals /match 2.51
  • Goals /match home 1.46
  • Goals /match away 1.06
  • Both teams score 50.26%
  • Goals after 80' 17.8%
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