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Málaga Lugo betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Based on the profile and performance of the two teams, we expect a closed game with little tendency for goals. The home team should control ball possession and go to attack in a supported way, trying to take advantage of the opposing team's mistakes. On the other hand, CD Lugo should spend most of their time in a defensive organization waiting for an opportunity to go forward to punish Malaga. Taking into account the rate of achievement of the two teams this season, we will bet on "Under 2.5 goals".
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Preview
Málaga and Lugo face at Estadio La Rosaleda, in a match for the 12th round of the Segunda División. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 27‑11‑2020, in a match for the Segunda División, they tied (2‑2). The goals of the match were scored by Juande (88' and 70' ), for Málaga, and by H. Rama (27' ) and F. Venancio (40' ), for Lugo. Although this is a match between 12th and 14th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 5th best in home matches and the 16th best in away matches.

Analysis Málaga

The home team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Real Zaragoza, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Huesca, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 3 points in away matches, with 4 goals scored and 11 conceded, against 11 points won at their stadium, with 5 goals scored and 1 conceded. For the league, Málaga won 11 points out of 15 possible points, after 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 19 of their last 28 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches.

Malaga arrives at this match with a goalless draw at Huesca, in a game counting for the eleventh round of the SmartBank League. The defenses were well and canceled the attacks well, although the game was played most of the time near the big circle.
The team led by José Alberto López should play in a 4-4-2, promoting ball possession and positional attacks. The two most advanced players, responsible for putting the opposing defensive structure into sense are Brandon Thomas and Sekou Gassama. As far as midfield is concerned, Kevin Villodres, Paulino de la Fuente, Genaro Rodríguez and Alberto Escassi are likely to play. 

Confirmed Lineup: Dani Martín, David Lombán, Victor Gómez Perea, Juan de Dios Rivas Margalef, Brian Cufre, Jozabed, Alberto Escassi, Genaro Rodríguez, Sekou Gassama, Paulino, Antoñin.

Analysis Lugo

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Burgos, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Las Palmas, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 4 points in away matches and 8 at their stadium, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded at home, against 6 goals scored and 7 conceded in away matches. In the last 5 away league matches Lugo has a record of 4 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 4 points out of 15 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

CD Lugo comes to this game confidently after a 2-0 home victory against Las Palmas, in the eleventh round of the competition. Erick Ferigra, in own-goal, began to draw the victory of the home team, which before the break was sealed with a goal by Xavi Torres.
For this game, away from home, coach Rubén Albés should keep the team in a 4-3-3, promoting defensive organization and quick attacks across the wings. Joselu, Chris Ramos and Gerard Valentín should compose the visitors' attack. In turn, the central aisle should be formed by Josep Señé, Xavi Torres and Hugo Rama. Apparently, the visitors' coach cannot count on the participation of Óscar Whalley, Pedro López and David Mayoral, all due to physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: Fran Vieites, Orest Lebedenko, Edu Campabadal, Diego Alende, Iriome Gonzalez, Juan Antonio, Fernando Seoane, Xavi Torres, Hugo Rama, José Ángel Carrillo, Joselu.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Málaga vs Lugo match, on 23 October 2021, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Málaga vs Lugo on 23 October 2021 will be played at Málaga, Estadio La Rosaleda.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Málaga Lugo match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Málaga at with 80% of the tips.

 

Segunda División - 2021/2022

  • 100% 468 / 468 Games

  • Home team wins 43.38%
  • Draws 29.49%
  • Away team wins 27.14%
  • Over 1.5 71.79%
  • Over 2.5 44.23%
  • Over 3.5 22.01%
  • Goals 1131
  • Goals /match 2.42
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.03
  • Both teams score 52.14%
  • Goals after 80' 17.24%
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