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Tipster: Are you an informant or a "hunchor"?
To know if you are an informant or a hunchor, you must ask yourself this question:
What makes the difference between your choices and the rest of the bettors? Can you draw odd lines more accurately than bookmakers or are you just imitating them?
High and low odds
Chronicle by Paulo Rebelo published at the Penthouse Portugal Magazine of July 2012: "This is a myth in sport betting."
Movements in several markets
This is a chronicle written by Paulo Rebelo in the Penthouse Portugal magazine in the 2012 November issue intitulated "If the match is tied, the odd tends to drop towards the end of the match".
Sports bet trading based solely on a technical analysis
If in live trading we can predict fast odd rises and falls, in pre-match we can also predict variations in matches with low uncertainty, just by analysing the market.
Odd graphic variation with match time (price over time)
Analyze the live odd history and find out how the odds vary with match events!
The new Odds page on football matches will provide you with an all new dimension of past match analysis, to help you predict and draw up the best betting strategies for the future.
How does Betfair’s cross-matching algorithm affect the order of the matched bets?
In what way does Betfair's algorithm know as cross-matching alter the matching order of the market?
Did this algorithm in any way affect the normal way of operating in which the first placed bets would be the first bets to be corresponded at that odd?
What is behind the fair odd calculation
To arrive at the fair odd, be it an Over/Under or on a 1X2 market, we must take into account everything that is relevant to that match: tables and pre-live statistical indicators, news or other psychological, less measurable factors of the teams and match.
Profitability of a trade depending on the value of the odd
Did you know it is different to win a 1 tick trade of 1,01 to 1,02 than to win a 1 tick trade of 1.51 to 1.52?
By always trading to win only 1 tick, you will have different profits depending on the direction of the trade (raise or fall) and the odd (high or low) at which you opened the trade.
Useful formulas for Sports Betting Trading
There are some useful formulas than a trader should know, if for no other reason, to demystify a little the Sports Betting Trading world. There is no secret to winning money with odd variations and it´s not a dark science.
Trading pre-live periods
Prelive trading can be divided in two steps:- Until one hour before the game starts the odds respect the correlations and we can predict its movement;
- In the hour that precedes the starting of the game there are an increase in liquidity and the movement of the odds are more determined by the market, its movement is also less predictable;