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Newell's Old Boys Vélez Sarsfield betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be quite unbalanced, considering that it puts two teams face-to-face in very different situations in the Argentine Championship, since the principal quarrels between the first placed and the visitor struggles to move away from the bottom of the qualifying table. In addition, Newell's Old Boys are very strong in their stadium where they have won 16 of 21 points, while Vélez Sársfield only managed 2 of 24 points played as a visitor and scored only 2 goals in 8 games away from their domains. In view of these factors, we believe that Newell's Old Boys assert the best squad and strongman force to win the 3 points and continue the search for Boca Juniors.
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Preview
Newell's Old Boys and Vélez Sarsfield meet at Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa, in a match for the 16th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 03‑03‑2015, they tied (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis NOB

The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 28 points won, after 8 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Talleres Córdoba, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against San Martín San Juan, by (6‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away draw against Colón by (1‑1). For the league, Newell's Old Boys won 16 points out of 21 possible points, after 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 7 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition.

Newell's Old Boys have been showing great performance in the Argentine Championship and figure among the first placed with 62% of the points played so far and it is worth mentioning that is 6 points of the leader Boca Juniors, so a victory in the next game is very important not to let the first-place escape even more in the national. The team scored 21 goals, being the sixth best attack of the competition, and conceded 12 goals, having the fourth defense less leaked and these figures demonstrate the good balance between the offensive and defensive sectors that allow the team the great current campaign. Playing in their stadium, as this match on Friday, Newell's Old Boys has 76% and averages of 2 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded and these figures demonstrate the strength of the team in their stadium, since both the attack and the defense have been working well in this kind of situation. Overall, the team tends to be more efficient offensively in the second half as 11 of their 21 goals came in the second stage, especially in the 75-90 minutes with 6 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Luciano Pocrnjic, Nehuén Paz, José San Román, Néstor Moiraghi, Jalil Elias, Joel Amoroso, Facundo Quignon, Maxi Rodríguez, Eugenio Isnaldo, Ignacio Scocco.
Coach: S. Domínguez, C. Fabbiani.

Analysis Vélez

The away team is currently in the 24th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Atlético Rafaela, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Arsenal, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got a home win against Rosario Central by (2‑1). In the last 8 away league matches Vélez Sarsfield has a record of 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 2‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 14 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Unlike his next opponent, Vélez Sárfield has presented poor performance in the Argentine Championship and is at the bottom of the table with 37% of the points played so far and they need to start scoring more regularly to get out of the uncomfortable situation they are in. The team scored 13 goals, being the ninth worst attack among the 30 national teams, and conceded 21 goals, having the third defense more leaked and these figures help to explain the current bad moment, since neither attack nor mainly the defense have been performing below expectations. Playing away from home, as the match that will do this Friday, the team has only 8% and averages of 0.25 goals scored and 1.50 goals suffered, which shows the great difficulty of scoring as a visitor, especially on account of the low income of their attack in this type of situation. In general, the team usually scores more in the second half as 11 of their 13 goals came in the second stage, especially in the 45-60 minutes with 6 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Fabian Assmann, Maximiliano Caire, Lautaro Gianetti, Cristian Nasuti, Leandro Desábato, Diego Zabala, Nicolás Domínguez, Gonzalo Díaz, Juan Martinez, Mariano Pavone.
Coach: F. Cubero, G. Quinteros Desábato.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the NOB vs Vélez match, on 18 March 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: NOB wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The NOB vs Vélez on 18 March 2017 will be played at Rosario, Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa.

 

Primera División - 2016/2017

  • 100% 450 / 450 Games

  • Home team wins 44.22%
  • Draws 26.44%
  • Away team wins 29.33%
  • Over 1.5 66.67%
  • Over 2.5 41.33%
  • Over 3.5 18%
  • Goals 1024
  • Goals /match 2.28
  • Goals /match home 1.25
  • Goals /match away 1.03
  • Both teams score 44.67%
  • Goals after 80' 17.58%
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