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Bahia São Paulo betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Despite the pressure from both sides and the balanced nature of the duel, Bahia and São Paulo have shown defensive instability in their recent matches, which could open up opportunities in both attacking sectors. Playing at home, Bahia tends to be more aggressive, while São Paulo has enough quality to take advantage of the spaces left. Given this scenario, the best bet for this game is for both teams to score, considering the offensive potential and the need for immediate reaction from both teams.
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Preview
Bahia and São Paulo face at Arena Fonte Nova, in a match for the 11th round of the Serie A. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 06‑11‑2024, in a match for the Serie A, São Paulo won by (0‑3). The goals of the match were scored by Lucas Moura (90' ), Wellington Rato (66' ) and Luiz Gustavo (40' ) for São Paulo. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Bahia presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis Bahia

After 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, havinf won 15 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Grêmio by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (2‑1) at home, against Vitória. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last match, for the CONMEBOL Libertadores, they got an away loss against Internacional by (2‑1). In the last 5 home league matches Bahia has a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, so they have won 11 points out of 15 possible.

They haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

After a game marked by controversial refereeing incidents, Bahia comes into this round of the Brasileirão under pressure. The team did not expect to lose to Grêmio, and it is crucial that they know how to deal with this setback. Keeping their mental state unshakable will be a key factor in ensuring that their performance does not decline even further on the field. With an organized game, they come into this challenge depending solely on their qualities to beat São Paulo.

Confirmed Lineup: Marcos Felipe, Santiago Ramos Mingo, David Duarte, L. Batista da Silva Junior, Gilberto, Éverton Ribeiro, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Willian José, Erick da Costa Farias, Ademir.
Coach: R. Mücke Ceni.

Analysis São Paulo

The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Grêmio, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Mirassol, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last match, for the CONMEBOL Libertadores, they got a home win against Talleres Córdoba by (2‑1). Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (1‑0) against Palmeiras. In the last 4 away league matches São Paulo has a record of 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 3 points out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

São Paulo is another team that is under pressure for this round of the Brasileirão. The team was not counting on a negative result at home and will need to forget the poor performance against Mirassol. Now, needing to recover the points lost, it is crucial that, away from home against a Bahia team also coming off a defeat, they show more efficient decision-making in the final third of the field. With a well-positioned defense and a lethal attack, they will have a real chance of surprising the Bahia team.

Confirmed Lineup: Rafael, Robert Arboleda, Cédric Soares, Enzo Díaz, Sabino, Wendell, Pablo Gonçalves Maia Fortunato, D. Bobadilla, Lucas dos Santos Ferreira, Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva, Luciano.
Coach: M. Cuberas.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Bahia vs São Paulo match, on 31 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Bahia vs São Paulo on 31 May 2025 will be played at Salvador, Arena Fonte Nova.

 

Serie A - 2025

  • 33% 124 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 50.81%
  • Draws 26.61%
  • Away team wins 22.58%
  • Over 1.5 68.55%
  • Over 2.5 41.13%
  • Over 3.5 16.94%
  • Goals 279
  • Goals /match 2.25
  • Goals /match home 1.39
  • Goals /match away 0.86
  • Both teams score 43.55%
  • Goals after 80' 21.51%
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