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Flamengo São Paulo betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This big national clash has everything it takes to be one of the most open of the round. Flamengo and São Paulo have clear attacking proposals, and this tends to lead to fast-paced matches and good scoring opportunities. The strength of the two attacks and the movement on the sides of the pitch should favor an increase in the number of goals. That's why the best bet is over 2.5 goals.
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Preview
Flamengo and São Paulo meet at Estádio Figueira de Melo, in a match for the 13th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 18‑04‑2024, Flamengo won by (2‑1). Luiz Araújo (20' ) and N. de la Cruz (54' ) scored for Flamengo and Ferreira (79' ) for São Paulo.

Analysis Flamengo

The home team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 24 points won, after 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Palmeiras, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Fortaleza, by (5‑0). They come to this match after a home loss against FC Bayern München by (2‑4).

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 6 home matches. They have presented defensive consistency, since they have only suffered goals in 2 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Flamengo are turning their attention to the Campeonato Brasileiro after an underwhelming showing at the FIFA Club World Cup, where they were eliminated in the round of 16. Despite this, they remain at the top of the domestic competition and want to further consolidate their position at the top of the table. Playing at home, they will be looking to impose their style of play and take advantage of the support of their fans to win all three points. The squad is technically strong and has the ability to control the match against qualified opponents. The goal is not just to win, but to convince with a good performance. Concentration and balance will be key in the derby.

Confirmed Lineup: Agustín Rossi, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Wesley Vinicius França Lima, Alex Sandro, Jorginho, Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Allan, Bruno Henrique, Gonzalo Plata, Luiz Araújo.
Coach: F. Kasmirski.

Analysis São Paulo

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 2 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Bahia, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Vasco da Gama, by (1‑3). In the last 5 away league matches São Paulo has a record of 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 15 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 12 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 12 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

São Paulo return to the Brasileirão under pressure from their poor form before the break, with underwhelming performances and a negative run of results. The team understands that it needs to react quickly if it is to avoid falling behind the frontrunners. Playing away from home against the leaders is a big challenge, but also a chance to regain confidence. A draw could be considered an acceptable result, as long as the team shows tactical progress and competitiveness. To achieve this, it will be necessary to maintain defensive consistency and make good use of transitions. The match demands total commitment and attention to every detail.

Confirmed Lineup: Rafael, Robert Arboleda, Cédric Soares, Sabino, Enzo Díaz, Alan Franco, Marcos Antonio, Alisson, Oscar, Pablo Gonçalves Maia Fortunato, André.
Coach: M. Cuberas.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Flamengo vs São Paulo match, on 12 July 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Flamengo vs São Paulo on 12 July 2025 will be played at Rio de Janeiro, Estádio Figueira de Melo.

 

Serie A - 2025

  • 34% 130 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 49.23%
  • Draws 27.69%
  • Away team wins 23.08%
  • Over 1.5 67.69%
  • Over 2.5 40%
  • Over 3.5 16.92%
  • Goals 289
  • Goals /match 2.22
  • Goals /match home 1.35
  • Goals /match away 0.87
  • Both teams score 43.08%
  • Goals after 80' 21.11%
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