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Fluminense Grêmio betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

In a clash between two teams under pressure and with recent offensive difficulties, the expectation is for a more tight game. Fluminense is going through a bad phase with consecutive defeats, and Grêmio has not been able to impose itself away from home. Taking this into account, the best choice for this game is a bet on less than 2.5 goals.

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Preview
Fluminense and Grêmio face at Estádio Figueira de Melo, in a match for the 18th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, played on 02‑11‑2024, they tied (2‑2). Jhon Arias (43' ) and Kauã Elias (66' ) scored for Fluminense and Reinaldo (90' ) and Martin Braithwaite (26' ) for Grêmio. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Fluminense

The home team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Palmeiras, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against São Paulo, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 13 conceded. They come to this match after a away win against Internacional by (1‑2). For the league, Fluminense won 13 points out of 21 possible points, after 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 7 home matches. In their home league matches, the most frequent final score was the 2‑1 (3 out of 7 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Fluminense, led by Renato Portaluppi, has been facing a dramatic decline in the Brasileirão. They have now suffered four consecutive defeats, and their performance on the pitch has not been enough to dominate their opponents. They need to react in the competition to avoid falling further behind the top of the table. The team must impose themselves from the opening minutes. Playing more offensively will be key to securing an important victory against the team from Rio Grande do Sul.


Confirmed Lineup: Fábio, Thiago Silva  , Samuel Xavier, Manoel, Guga, Ganso, Martinelli , Hércules, Everaldo, Kevin Serna, Keno.
Coach: F. Diniz Silva.

Analysis Grêmio

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Palmeiras, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Fortaleza, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Grêmio has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 24 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 12 of their 32 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

On the other hand, despite showing some improvement, Grêmio still needs to deliver better performances in the Brasileirão. The team faces enormous difficulty in imposing itself on the field, which has been the main obstacle to overcome at this time of great pressure. They have gone four games without a win in the competition, accumulating two defeats in that period. It will be necessary to change the way they play if they want to have any chance of overcoming Fluminense away from home, in an environment that promises to be hostile.


Confirmed Lineup: Tiago Volpi, Wagner Leonardo, Lucas Esteves, João Lucas , Walter Kannemann , Mathías Villasanti , Dodi , Riquelme, Alysson, Cristian Pavón, Martin Braithwaite.
Coach: L. Ribeiro de Castro.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Fluminense vs Grêmio match, on 2 August 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Fluminense vs Grêmio on 2 August 2025 will be played at Rio de Janeiro, Estádio Figueira de Melo.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Fluminense Grêmio match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Fluminense at with 54% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2025

  • 100% 381 / 382 Games

  • Home team wins 50.13%
  • Draws 26.25%
  • Away team wins 23.62%
  • Over 1.5 71.92%
  • Over 2.5 45.93%
  • Over 3.5 24.41%
  • Goals 960
  • Goals /match 2.52
  • Goals /match home 1.52
  • Goals /match away 0.99
  • Both teams score 47.24%
  • Goals after 80' 18.23%
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