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São Paulo Grêmio betting prediction
 São Paulo |
|  Grêmio |
Betting suggestion:
The match between São Paulo and Grêmio promises to be a very competitive one, with the home team looking to impose their rhythm in front of their fans. Grêmio should bet on a more reactive stance, trying to exploit the spaces left by the opponent. Considering the style of both teams and the recent history of tight matches, the best bet for this match is under 2.5 goals.
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Preview
São Paulo and Grêmio face at Estádio Nicolau Alayon, in a match for the 9th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 2. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 18‑07‑2024, São Paulo won by (1‑0). Lucas Moura (10' ) scored the only goal of the match. Grêmio registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.
Analysis São Paulo
After 1 win, 6 draws and 1 loss, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 9 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Palmeiras by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) at home, against Fortaleza. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 13 conceded. They come to this match after a home draw against Libertad by (1‑1). For the league, São Paulo won 6 points out of 12 possible points, after 1 win and 3 draws in the last 4 home matches.
They haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (61'‑75').
Charlotte and Chicago Fire should adopt a more cautious game, prioritizing defensive organization to avoid mistakes. With few clear chances created and a tight game, the match tends to have a low score. In this context, the recommended bet is under 2.5 goals.
They haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (61'‑75').
Charlotte and Chicago Fire should adopt a more cautious game, prioritizing defensive organization to avoid mistakes. With few clear chances created and a tight game, the match tends to have a low score. In this context, the recommended bet is under 2.5 goals.
Confirmed Lineup: Rafael, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Enzo Díaz, Nahuel Ferraresi Hernández, Marcos Antonio, Alisson, Oscar, Lucas dos Santos Ferreira, Luciano, André.
Coach: R. Mücke Ceni.
Analysis Grêmio
The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 9 points won, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Santos, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Bragantino, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, they got a home tie against Godoy Cruz by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches Grêmio has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 10 of their 28 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
On the other hand, Grêmio arrives shaken after letting a great victory in the Brasileirão slip away. The team was beating RB Bragantino until the final minutes, when once again they made crucial mistakes in their defensive system. Now, needing to recover the points they lost, it is crucial that, away from Porto Alegre, they show more attention on the field, especially with their defenders. Correcting this attitude will be an important step in increasing the chances of surprising a São Paulo that has been showing good numbers in their stadium.
On the other hand, Grêmio arrives shaken after letting a great victory in the Brasileirão slip away. The team was beating RB Bragantino until the final minutes, when once again they made crucial mistakes in their defensive system. Now, needing to recover the points they lost, it is crucial that, away from Porto Alegre, they show more attention on the field, especially with their defenders. Correcting this attitude will be an important step in increasing the chances of surprising a São Paulo that has been showing good numbers in their stadium.
Confirmed Lineup: Tiago Volpi, João Pedro, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Mathias Villasanti, Miguel Ángel Monsalve Gonzáles, Douglas Moreira, Alexander Aravena Guzmán, Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos, Martin Braithwaite.
Coach: L. Venker de Menezes.
Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the São Paulo Grêmio match?
The tip and bet suggestion for the São Paulo vs Grêmio match, on 17 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.
👉 In which stadium will the São Paulo Grêmio be played?
The São Paulo vs Grêmio on 17 May 2025 will be played at Sao Paulo, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo.
Serie A
Serie A - 2025
- 29% 109 / 380 Games
- Home team wins 51.38%
- Draws 28.44%
- Away team wins 20.18%
- Over 1.5 66.97%
- Over 2.5 40.37%
- Over 3.5 15.6%
- Goals 239
- Goals /match 2.19
- Goals /match home 1.39
- Goals /match away 0.81
- Both teams score 43.12%
- Goals after 80' 21.34%
Football Competitions
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