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Sport Recife Grêmio betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Sport has already been relegated and faces a Grêmio team that is still fighting for a place in the South American Cup, making this an uneven matchup. The visiting team should dominate the action and have more scoring opportunities against an opponent without significant tactical pressure. The tip for this game is to bet on a Grêmio victory.
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Preview
Sport and Grêmio face at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in a match for the 38th round of the Serie A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 11‑08‑2025, Sport Recife got an away win by (0‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 14‑06‑2022, in a match for the Serie B, they tied (0‑0). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Sport

After 2 wins, 11 draws and 24 losses, the home team is in the 20th position, havinf won 17 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Bahia by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (3‑0) an away match against Santos. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches; against 1 win, 7 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. For the league, Sport won 6 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses in the last 10 home matches.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 losses in the last home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 22 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 18 home matches for this competition: they have scored 30 of their 45 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Sport enters the final round after an extremely difficult season, marked by many weaknesses and early relegation. With no major goals left to play for, the team takes to the field just to end its participation, but it may seek a dignified performance in front of its fans. Even with a campaign well below expectations, the team showed competitiveness at times, including a rare victory against its rival in this match. The tendency is for a cautious approach, trying to avoid the defensive errors that have hurt them throughout the tournament. Even so, they may adopt a more relaxed style of play, taking advantage of the lack of pressure to create opportunities.

Confirmed Lineup: Caíque França, Rafael Thyere , Matheus Alexandre, Luan Cândido, Igor Cariús, Matheusinho, Lucas Kal, Lucas Lima, Pedro Augusto, Romarinho, Gonçalo Paciência.
Coach: E. Alves Moreira.

Analysis Grêmio

The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 46 points won, after 12 wins, 10 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Palmeiras, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Fluminense, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (3‑2) against Botafogo. In the last 10 away league matches Grêmio has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 21 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 18 away matches for this competition there are 3 periods that stand out: they have scored 41 of their 110 goals between minutes (16'‑30'); they have conceded 45 of their 105 goals between minutes (16'‑30') and 37 of their 105 goals between (31'‑45').

Grêmio enters the final round with the mission of winning to confirm its place in the South American Cup, even after a season marked by ups and downs. The team from Rio Grande do Sul tends to take control of the match, exploiting its main technical strengths and the fragility of its opponent. Despite being the logical favourite, the recent history of the duel serves as a warning to avoid complacency. The team should prioritise a balanced offensive approach, seeking efficiency in finishing and defensive security. The expectation is to end the championship with a positive result that brings a little more stability after an irregular year.

Confirmed Lineup: Gabriel Grando, Marcos Rocha, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Gustavo Martins , Franco Cristaldo, Edenilson, Gustavo Cuéllar, Alysson, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius .
Coach: L. Venker de Menezes.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Sport vs Grêmio match, on 7 December 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Grêmio wins ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Sport vs Grêmio on 7 December 2025 will be played at Recife, Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Sport Grêmio match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Grêmio at with 100% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2025

  • 100% 381 / 382 Games

  • Home team wins 50.13%
  • Draws 26.25%
  • Away team wins 23.62%
  • Over 1.5 71.92%
  • Over 2.5 45.93%
  • Over 3.5 24.41%
  • Goals 960
  • Goals /match 2.52
  • Goals /match home 1.52
  • Goals /match away 0.99
  • Both teams score 47.24%
  • Goals after 80' 18.23%
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