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Ajax II De Graafschap betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Jong Ajax have the worst record in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie, coming into this clash on the back of 4 consecutive defeats and 7 games without a win. De Graafschap, unbeaten in their last 4 matches, are one of the most prolific teams in terms of shots and shots on target and will rely on this attacking strength to overcome one of the league’s weakest defences. Given this scenario, backing De Graafschap to win looks the most sensible option, a feat they have already achieved 3 times this season, while Jong Ajax have lost 6 of their 9 league games.
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Preview
Ajax and De Graafschap meet at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 10th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 2 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, on 09‑12‑2024, Jong Ajax won by (2‑0). Rayane Bounida (90' ) and Christian Kjelder Rasmussen (12' ) scored the goals of the match for Ajax. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Ajax

After 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 19th position, havinf won 5 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against RKC Waalwijk by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (2‑4) at home, against VVV‑Venlo. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. For the league, Ajax won 4 points out of 12 possible points, after 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 4 home matches.

They haven’t won any of the last 7 matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 9 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 9 of their 25 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Jong Ajax is a reserve side competing in the Eerste Divisie primarily to give young players experience and prepare them for Ajax’s first team. Even so, the current run is embarrassing for the club, recording 4 consecutive defeats and going 7 rounds without a win (2 draws and 5 losses in that period). The team have the worst overall record in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie, earning just 5 points from 9 games (18% efficiency). Their home form is slightly better but still the third-worst in the league, with 4 points from 4 matches (33% efficiency). Jong Ajax have the second-worst goals conceded average overall and the worst at home, letting in 20 goals in total, 8 of which came at their stadium. Manager Willem Weijs has no known absences and is likely to field the same starting XI in a 4-4-2 formation, with Joeri Heerkens standing out as the third-most active goalkeeper in the league, averaging 4.2 saves per match.

Confirmed Lineup: P. Reverson, Lucas Jetten, Marvyn Muzungu, Jinairo Johnson, A. Appiah, Tijn Peters, R. Bounida, Sean Steur, Emre Ünüvar, K. Wolff, Don O'Niel.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

Analysis De Graafschap

The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against FC Dordrecht, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Almere City, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away matches De Graafschap has won 3, tied 1 and lost 6. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition.

De Graafschap are aiming to break into the promotion playoff zone and arrive on the back of a four-game unbeaten run in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie (2 wins and 2 draws). The team have the second-lowest goals conceded average among away sides and the lowest absolute total, conceding just 3 goals in 3 away matches. Their second-highest possession rate in the league (57.3%) makes them the second-highest shooting team, averaging 20.6 shots per game, and the second-most accurate with 7.1 shots on target per match. However, De Graafschap are the worst team for clean sheets, having conceded in all 8 games so far. Manager Marinus Dijkhuizen may repeat the previous starting XI in a 4-3-3 formation if left-back Kaya Symons is cleared by the medical team after picking up an injury at half-time in the last game. The standout performer is Moroccan left winger Ibrahim El Kadiri, the third-highest shooter and the player with the most shots on target in the league, averaging 4.1 shots and 1.8 on target per game.

Confirmed Lineup: Ties Wieggers, Othniël Raterink, Kaya Symons, Thomas Kok, Rowan Besselink, Teun Gijselhart, Reuven Niemeijer , Jason Meerstadt, Bouke Boersma, Ibrahim El Kadiri, Arjen van der Heide.
Coach: R. Robbemond.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs De Graafschap match, on 3 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: De Graafschap wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Ajax vs De Graafschap on 3 October 2025 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Ajax De Graafschap match, on the "match odds" market, was a draw at with 100% of the tips.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2025/2026

  • 50% 199 / 397 Games

  • Home team wins 43.22%
  • Draws 20.1%
  • Away team wins 36.68%
  • Over 1.5 80.9%
  • Over 2.5 63.32%
  • Over 3.5 45.23%
  • Goals 651
  • Goals /match 3.27
  • Goals /match home 1.78
  • Goals /match away 1.49
  • Both teams score 61.31%
  • Goals after 80' 19.51%
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