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MVV Ajax II betting prediction
 MVV |
|  Ajax |
Betting suggestion:
This fixture can be seen as little more than a friendly, with MVV already out of the running for a play-off spot and Jong Ajax competing in the Eerste Divisie solely for player development purposes. The visitors, notably, possess the third-worst attacking record in the league. With that in mind, our betting selection is Under 3.5 Goals in the match a winning outcome in 9 of MVV’s 18 home fixtures and, more significantly, in 14 of the 18 matches Jong Ajax have played away from home.
Preview
MVV and Ajax face at De Geusselt, in a match for the 37th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 19‑08‑2024, these teams have tied (0‑0). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, on 01‑09‑2023, MVV Maastricht won by (2‑1). Koen Kostons (3' and 13' ) scored for MVV and Gabriel Misehouy (87' ) for Ajax. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.
Analysis MVV
After 9 wins, 10 draws and 17 losses, the home team is in the 15th position, havinf won 37 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against FC Dordrecht by (3‑0), after in the previous match they have won (5‑0) at home, against Jong Utrecht. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 4 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. For the league, MVV won 16 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 13 of the last 18 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 21 of their 36 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3.
MVV are merely fulfilling fixtures in this closing stage of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, with no mathematical chance of reaching the promotion playoffs. The team have won just one of their last 10 league matches (1 draw and 8 defeats in that spell). However, their most recent home win did bring an end to a run of four consecutive losses at their own ground. MVV boast the highest number of tackles in the league, averaging exactly 21 per match. Manager Edwin Hermans is expected to maintain the same starting XI used in the previous round, sticking with a 4-3-3 setup, as the only absentee remains right winger Camil Mmaee, sidelined since March due to injury. The standout performer in the squad is Belgian goalkeeper Romain Matthys, the third most prolific shot-stopper in the league with an average of 4.6 saves per match.
Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Wout Coomans, Djairo Tehubyuluw, Simon Francis, Tim Zeegers, Robert Klaasen, Nabil El Basri, Marko Kleinen, Robyn Esajas, Rayan Buifrahi, Sven Braken.
Coach: K. Wels.
Analysis Ajax
The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 35 points won, after 9 wins, 8 draws and 19 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against De Graafschap, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Helmond Sport, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 2 draws and 12 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Ajax has a record of 1 win and 9 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 36 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Jong Ajax function as a reserve side competing in the Eerste Divisie purely to provide competitive experience for young players being developed for the Ajax senior team, which plays in the Eredivisie and other top-level competitions. Nevertheless, the club’s record on the road is dismal, having lost their last four away matches and 12 of their last 13 as visitors, with just a single win during that period. They possess the third-worst attacking record in the league, scoring only 37 goals, and are known for allowing opponents to play with relative freedom, evidenced by their status as the third cleanest team in terms of fouls committed (averaging just 10.8 per match). Manager Frank Peereboom is expected to field the same starting line-up as in the previous round, deploying a 4-2-3-1 formation, as the only absentee remains midfielder Nassef Chourak, out injured since 28 February 2025. The standout player in the squad is English goalkeeper Charlie Setford, who leads the league in saves made, averaging 4.8 per match.
Confirmed Lineup: Paul Peters Reverson, Aaron Bouwman, Nick Verschuren, Lucas Jetten, Jinairo Johnson, Avery Appiah, Sean Steur, Mark Thomas Willem Verkuijl, Kayden Wolff, Julian Rijkhoff, Jan Faberski.
Coach: J. Heitinga.
Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the MVV Ajax match?
The tip and bet suggestion for the MVV vs Ajax match, on 2 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.
👉 In which stadium will the MVV Ajax be played?
The MVV vs Ajax on 2 May 2025 will be played at Maastricht, De Geusselt.
Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025
- 100% 380 / 380 Games
- Home team wins 45.79%
- Draws 23.16%
- Away team wins 31.05%
- Over 1.5 80.26%
- Over 2.5 59.74%
- Over 3.5 38.16%
- Goals 1146
- Goals /match 3.02
- Goals /match home 1.7
- Goals /match away 1.32
- Both teams score 53.95%
- Goals after 80' 17.89%
Football Competitions
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