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RKC Waalwijk MVV betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a clash between clubs in need of a win, as Waalwijk have not won in their last three games, while MVV have not won in their last five. There is a considerable taboo at stake: MVV have not beaten Waalwijk since 2016. Since then, there have been three wins for Waalwijk and three draws. We will bet on Under 3.5 Goals, as this has been a winning bet in four of the eight games played at Waalwijk's home ground and in three of the eight games MVV has played away from home. Above all, however, it is worth noting that Waalwijk usually scores 1.75 goals per game at home, and MVV usually scores 0.75 goals per game away from home.
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Preview
Waalwijk and MVV face at Mandemakers Stadion, in a match for the 17th round of the Eerste Divisie. There is no record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 15‑03‑2019, the match ended with the final score: MVV (1‑4) RKC Waalwijk. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Waalwijk

After 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 8th position, havinf won 23 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against TOP Oss by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑4) at home, against De Graafschap. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 8 home league matches Waalwijk has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 24 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 8 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

Waalwijk has not won in three rounds (two draws and one loss during that period), but still depends only on itself to remain in the playoff qualification zone. The team's defensive vulnerability worries fans, as the club has the second-worst record for clean sheets (finishing only two of the 16 games it played without conceding a goal). Manager Sander Duits may repeat the previous starting line-up, based on a 4-3-3 formation, as left-back Liam van Gelderen, born in Suriname, and midfielder Tim van de Loo remain sidelined with injuries. The standout player in the Waalwijk squad is right-back Jordi Altena (scorer of 2 goals and 4 assists in 16 appearances in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie).

Confirmed Lineup: Mark Spenkelink, Jordi Altena, Nazjir Held, Loek Postma, Luuk Wouters, Juan Familia-Castillo, Daniël van Kaam, Harrie Kuster, Jesper Uneken, Chris Lokesa , Denilho Cleonise.
Coach: H. Fraser.

Analysis MVV

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Almere City, by (4‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Jong AZ, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 30 conceded; against 7 wins and 8 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches MVV has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

MVV are in terrible form after four consecutive defeats and five rounds without a win (they had one draw prior to the losing streak). Specifically away from home, they only won in the third round on 22 August 2025, and since then they have gone seven games without a win (three draws and four defeats, including elimination by De Treeffers, from the Third National Division, in the KNVB Beker Cup). The second worst attack in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie (19 goals scored) and the third worst defence (32 goals conceded) leave the fans very concerned and unhappy. The second worst ball possession in the league (44.3%) makes MVV the club with the fewest shots on goal in the championship (average of 11.3 shots per round) and the third least likely to shoot on goal (3.9 shots on target per match). Manager Peter Van den Berg has no known absences and may repeat the previous starting line-up, based on a 4-3-3 formation, with goalkeeper Sem Westerveld, who is usually in high demand, standing out.

Confirmed Lineup: Sem Westerveld, Kanou Sy, Ilias Breugelmans, Wout Coomans, Djairo Tehubijuluw, Nabil El Basri, Robert Klaasen, Stan Van Dessel, Camil Mmaee, Thijme Verheijen, Luca Foubert.
Coach: K. Wels.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Waalwijk vs MVV match, on 25 November 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Waalwijk vs MVV on 25 November 2025 will be played at Waalwijk, Mandemakers Stadion.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Waalwijk MVV match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Waalwijk at with 100% of the tips.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2025/2026

  • 51% 203 / 396 Games

  • Home team wins 43.84%
  • Draws 19.7%
  • Away team wins 36.45%
  • Over 1.5 81.28%
  • Over 2.5 64.04%
  • Over 3.5 45.81%
  • Goals 667
  • Goals /match 3.29
  • Goals /match home 1.8
  • Goals /match away 1.48
  • Both teams score 61.58%
  • Goals after 80' 19.19%
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