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Cusco Melgar betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Cusco's goal is to earn all three points, but they know this won’t be an easy task. The visitors are likely to apply a strong defensive press on the field. We expect a tight, highly competitive game, so we’re betting that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.
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Preview
Cusco and Melgar face at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in a match for the 2nd round of the Primera División. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 14‑07‑2024, in a match for the Primera División, Melgar won by (0‑3). The goals of the match were scored by T. Martínez (40' ), P. Reyna (17' ) and J. Archimbaud (75' ) for Melgar. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Cusco

The home team comes to this 2nd round after having lost (3‑0) in the 1st round, in a match against Alianza Lima. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Cusco has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 16 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Cusco was hoping for a more positive debut in the Apertura, but that didn't happen. The team comes off a painful 3-0 defeat to Alianza Lima and cannot allow this to affect their mentality. Maintaining confidence and continuing to believe in their potential is a big step towards a more consistent performance in this home match against Melgar, where only three points matter.

Confirmed Lineup: Andy Vidal, Alvaro Ampuero, Marco Saravia, José Zevallos, Carlos Gamarra, Oswaldo Valenzuela Dileo, Carlos Diez, Ivan Colman, Nicolás Silva, Pierre Da Silva, Juan Manuel Tévez.
Coach: M. Grioni.

Analysis Melgar

The away team comes to this 2nd round after a (3‑0) win in their league debut, against UTC Cajamarca. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 12 wins and 3 draws at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 5 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Melgar has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 16 of the last 18 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In the last 18 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Melgar has already shown their credentials in this Apertura start. The team won convincingly in their debut, which could inject important motivation for the rest of the competition. Now, knowing the importance of continuing to accumulate points to compete at the top of the table, it’s crucial they focus on securing at least a draw against Cusco, who started with a loss in the competition.

Confirmed Lineup: Carlos Cáceda, Matías Fernando Lazo Zapata, Nelson Cabanillas, Pier Barrios, Leonel González, Tomás Martínez, Kenji Giovanni Cabrera Nakamura, Horacio Orzan, Walter Tandazo, Facundo Castro, Cristian Bordacahar.
Coach: N. Lorenzo.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Cusco vs Melgar match, on 14 February 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Cusco vs Melgar on 14 February 2025 will be played at Cusco, Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 89% 153 / 171 Games

  • Home team wins 47.71%
  • Draws 25.49%
  • Away team wins 26.8%
  • Over 1.5 76.47%
  • Over 2.5 54.25%
  • Over 3.5 32.03%
  • Goals 431
  • Goals /match 2.82
  • Goals /match home 1.69
  • Goals /match away 1.12
  • Both teams score 54.25%
  • Goals after 80' 17.4%
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