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Liverpool Progreso betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

With Liverpool going through an excellent period and playing in front of their own fans, the favouritism is clear. The trend points to a match controlled by the home team, who should create the best chances and confirm the win. The betting tip is for Liverpool to win.
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Preview
Liverpool and Progreso face at Estadio Belvedere, in a match for the 13th round of the Primera División. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 27‑04‑2025, and ended in a (0‑2) win by Liverpool. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Progreso presents significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Liverpool

The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 22 points won, after 14 wins, 14 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Racing, by (2‑2). In the last match, they won in an away match against Plaza Colonia, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Liverpool has a record of 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (8 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times, but have turned the score around in 5.

Liverpool are going through an excellent phase in the Uruguayan league, leading the way and playing consistent, competitive football. The team has been solid in all areas, with a secure defence and an effective attack that knows how to take advantage of the opportunities created. Playing at home, Liverpool tend to dominate matches and impose their pace from the first few minutes, making them one of the most feared teams in the competition. With the chance to extend their lead at the top of the table, the team will go into the game with confidence and full focus on picking up another three points.

Confirmed Lineup: Sebastián Lentinelly, Facundo Perdomo, Lucas Matías Suárez Scalarea, Martín Rea, Enzo Castillo, F. Catarozzi, Lucas Acosta, Gonzalo Nápoli, Abel Hernández, Manuel Castro, Javier Vallejo.
Coach: J. Bava.

Analysis Progreso

The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 8 wins, 12 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Plaza Colonia, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Defensor Sporting, by (2‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Progreso has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Atlético Progreso, on the other hand, are going through a more delicate phase, occupying the bottom half of the table. Despite some positive results in recent rounds, the team continues to show inconsistency and struggles to maintain the same level of performance throughout the 90 minutes. Playing away from home, the challenge tends to be even greater, especially against such a qualified opponent. It will be necessary to adopt a compact and effective approach to marking in order to try and spring a surprise and win at least a point.

Confirmed Lineup: N. Gentilio, N. Olivera, G. Trasante, Facundo Kidd, A. García, Ignacio Lemmo, A. Pinheiro, Gonzalo Silva, P. López, Gary Silva.
Coach: C. Canobbio Bentaberry.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Liverpool vs Progreso match, on 26 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Liverpool wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Liverpool vs Progreso on 26 October 2025 will be played at Montevideo, Estadio Belvedere.

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 100% 297 / 297 Games

  • Home team wins 35.69%
  • Draws 37.37%
  • Away team wins 26.94%
  • Over 1.5 67%
  • Over 2.5 42.76%
  • Over 3.5 21.21%
  • Goals 692
  • Goals /match 2.33
  • Goals /match home 1.27
  • Goals /match away 1.06
  • Both teams score 48.48%
  • Goals after 80' 18.93%
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