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Sporting KC St. Louis City betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Sporting KC is having a very poor campaign, and the pressure for a good result could affect their performance. St. Louis City, despite coming off losses, has shown more consistency throughout the season. Given this, betting on under 2.5 goals, considering both teams' offensive instability, could be a good alternative.
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Preview
Sporting KC and St. Louis City face at Children's Mercy Park, in a match of the MLS. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑07‑2024, in a match for the MLS, they tied (1‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Willy Agada (73' ), for Sporting KC, and by Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson (42' ), for St. Louis City. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Sporting KC

The home team comes to this stage of the MLS (Regular Season) after a away loss by (2‑1) against Dallas. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches Sporting KC has won 2, tied 2 and lost 6.

They haven’t won any of the last 6 matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 6 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 21 of the last 23 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 3 matches but have never been able to hold on to the lead until the end of the 90'. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Sporting KC has been struggling with poor results in the early stages of the MLS regular season. The team currently holds the worst record and needs a recovery to avoid falling further down the Western Conference standings. Betting on a different strategy this time could be a crucial step in their quest for their first win of the competition. The priority is to face St. Louis City with a higher level of commitment.

Confirmed Lineup: John Pulskamp, Jake Davis, Logan Ndenbe, Joaquín Fernández, Jansen Miller, Manu García, Jacob Bartlett, Shapi Suleymanov, Dejan Joveljić, Khiry Shelton, Dániel Sallói.
Coach: P. Vermes.

Analysis St. Louis City

The away team comes to this stage of the MLS (Regular Season) after a home loss by (0‑1) against Austin. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 away matches St. Louis City has won 2, tied 5 and lost 3.

On the other hand, despite a two-game losing streak, St. Louis City has already shown a superior technical quality compared to their opponent in this matchup. This gives them a slight favoritism, even when playing away. Knowing how to manage this advantage and focusing on a flawless performance will be crucial for securing an important victory. The priority is to end the recent poor run of form.

Confirmed Lineup: Ben Lundt, Joakim Nilsson, Henry Kessler, Kyle Hiebert, Joshua Yaro, Alfredo Morales, Conrad Wallem, Akil Watts, Marcel Hartel, Célio Pompeu, João Klauss.
Coach: O. Mellberg.

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MLS - 2025

  • 100% 496 / 497 Games

  • Home team wins 45.56%
  • Draws 24.6%
  • Away team wins 29.84%
  • Over 1.5 78.23%
  • Over 2.5 58.27%
  • Over 3.5 35.08%
  • Goals 1489
  • Goals /match 3
  • Goals /match home 1.67
  • Goals /match away 1.34
  • Both teams score 59.88%
  • Goals after 80' 18.94%
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